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Seats to Watch in SA Elections | Blue Mountains Gazette

KEY SEATS IN SOUTH AUSTRALIA ELECTION:

The most marginal government and the one he needs to stay in power.

But incumbent MP Richard Harvey faces a tough challenge from Labor and Independent Frances Bedford, who decided not to contest her current Florey seat and moved on to the neighboring electorate after a border change moved many of his supporters to Newland.

Harvey holds the 0.1% seat and is widely expected to return to the Labor fold or allow Bedford to continue his long parliamentary career.

If the overall result is a hung parliament, expect Bedford, a former Labor MP, to help the opposition form the government.

Another seat of government held by a very slim margin (0.6%).

Paula Luethen won it as a new electorate without a sitting MP in 2018.

She has worked hard locally to build support and the government has spent money to help, but Labor has acted early to shortlist Rhiannon Pearce in a clear sign it thinks it can win the king as the one of at least four Liberal seats he needs to shoot to govern outright.

Labour’s Leon Bignell defied pundits and a swing to the Liberals to retain Mawson in 2018, but a border shift brought more regional areas into the electorate, including Kangaroo Island.

He is still popular in the region and is seen more as an independent thinker, willing to take his own stand.

Bignell must retain Amy Williams from the Liberals if Labor has a chance of taking government.

Normally a rock-solid Liberal seat, but 2018 winner Dan Cregan shocked the party and parliament by defecting last year and further angered the Libs by taking over as Speaker of the House of Assembly with the support of the Labor Party and other MPs.

He says he jumped because the government took the area for granted and wanted to fight for better health, transportation and other services.

With the region’s history of supporting an independent federal government, Cregan is considered a great fortune.

The story of two cities – Port Pirie and Port Augusta.

In 2018 they were in neighboring constituencies, one held by independent Geoff Brock, the other by Deputy Prime Minister Dan van Holst Pellekaan. But the boundary changes mean Port Pirie, where Brock is hugely popular, has moved into the Deputy Prime Minister’s electorate, setting up an interesting showdown.

A recent opinion poll suggested that Mr van Holst Pellekaan should win, based on strong support in eastern Port Augusta and elsewhere. But it is difficult to judge where the interviewees were.

If Brock can win, it would be a blow to the Liberals’ chances of keeping their job.

Australian Associated Press